What do the numbers actually tell us?
Data for Thought examines AI claims, helps you interpret psychological measures, and publishes sports forecasts that are graded in public.
Does AI make you more productive?
Large gains on individual tasks have not yet translated into detectable economy-wide effects.
Three ways in
Three subjects, one discipline: every piece shows its measurements and earns its conclusion.
The Evidence Desk
Prominent claims about AI and the mind, checked against primary research.
“AI erodes critical thinking.”
Measures of Your Mix
Research-backed psychological measures, interpreted carefully and added to your personal survey.
Life satisfaction
Forecasts & Scorecards
Learning about models and analyses by predicting sports outcomes.
NWSL championship race
About Paul
Paul Thibodeau is a cognitive scientist and statistician who studies how language, measurement, and models shape what people believe. He holds a PhD from Stanford and an MS in statistics.
About Paul and his research →