What can the numbers tell us?
Data for Thought checks claims about AI against the evidence, turns psychological measures into tools for self-reflection, and publishes sports analyses and forecasts, while explaining the numbers along the way.
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Does AI make you more productive?
Large gains on individual tasks have not yet translated into detectable economy-wide effects.
Three ways to think with data
The Evidence Desk
Prominent claims about AI and the mind, checked against primary research.
“AI erodes critical thinking.”
Measures to Reflect By
Research-backed psychological measures, interpreted carefully and added to your personal survey.
Life satisfaction
Sports Forecasts and Analyses
Learning about statistical modeling by predicting sports outcomes.
NWSL championship race
About Paul
Paul Thibodeau is a cognitive scientist and data scientist who turns complex questions into measurable ones. He spent a decade as a professor and has worked as a data scientist in industry. His work combines research design, statistical modeling, forecasting, and clear communication. He holds a PhD in cognitive science from Stanford and an MS in statistics.
Need help with research design, measurement, forecasting, or data communication? Work with Paul →